Professor Allan Lichtman of American University has predicted the presidential winner in every U.S. election since 1984. He went viral this week for predicting that Kamala Harris will win the presidency in November.
He uses 13 factors, or “keys” as he calls them. He admits that there are still some outliers that make him less confident in his prediction, namely that Harris was not primaried to earn this nomination and he would like to see how the Democratic National Convention plays out in August. His current Harris prediction is a placeholder and he says that he will make his final prediction after the convention.
RealClearPolitics shows that Trump leads in all but two polls in battleground states but Harris is clearly making gains where President Biden could not.
