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President Trump announced that a preliminary deal with Iran is “all signed” and that the Strait will be completely opened on Friday.
Is there any truth to this? Because at this point, we sure do have reason to question these weekly “peace deal” announcements, don’t we? Especially when Trump posts absurd statements like this: “Iran has agreed to never have a Nuclear Weapon!”
As for an actual deal itself, there could be some truth to it this time, seeing how Shehbaz Sharif, the prime minister of Pakistan, announced that the two sides had agreed on a deal, and Iran’s Minister of Foreign Affairs confirmed this as well, stating:
“We are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED. Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.”
The keyword here is “Lebanon”.
Because no matter how convincing these statements are that come directly from world leaders, lasting peace won’t materialize while Israel is making it clear that it doesn’t consider itself bound by the Lebanon clause in the agreement with Iran.
Case in point, Netanyahu, in so many words, has announced a permanent occupation of territories in Lebanon, “We will remain in the security zones as long as necessary.”
With Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz backing his statement: “Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and I are leading a clear policy that determines that the IDF will remain in the security zones in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza, without any time limit.”
That being the case, this may just turn out to be another pause for everyone to reload.
In the meantime, the Iranians are expecting millions of dollars in much-needed reconstruction funds, but Vice President Vance has indicated those funds will only be released if Iran complies.
But once Israel resumes military operations in Lebanon and Iran responds, Tehran will be accused of violating the agreement, and the funds will be withheld.
And if everything does actually unfold the way Trump says it will, if the Strait fully reopens and oil begins flowing normally again, then what exactly was all of this for?
Thousands of lives were lost, and economies were thrown into turmoil, only to arrive back at square one with the same shipping lanes open and oil flowing freely once again.